Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Midwestern Region

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General Information
Study Number: TPF-5(187)
Lead Organization: Federal Highway Administration
Contract Start Date: Apr 10, 2009
Solicitation Number: 980
Partners: Minnesota State Aid, CO, IADOT, KS, MN, MO, NE, OK, SD
Status: Closed
Est. Completion Date: Jan 31, 2013
Contract/Other Number:
Last Updated: Mar 22, 2016
Contract End Date: Sep 30, 2014
Financial Summary
Contract Amount:
Total Commitments Received: $1,642,013.00
100% SP&R Approval: Approved
Contact Information
Lead Study Contact(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
FHWA Technical Liaison(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
Study Champion(s): Ginger Griffin
Ginger.Griffin@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3022
Organization Year Commitments Technical Contact Name Funding Contact Name Contact Number Email Address
Colorado Department of Transportation 2010 $15,000.00 Aziz Khan Aziz Khan aziz.khan@state.co.us
Colorado Department of Transportation 2011 $15,000.00 Aziz Khan Aziz Khan aziz.khan@state.co.us
Colorado Department of Transportation 2012 $15,000.00 Aziz Khan Aziz Khan aziz.khan@state.co.us
Iowa Department of Transportation 2008 $65,972.00 Dave Claman Cheryl Cowie 515-239-1447 Cheryl.Cowie@iowadot.us
Iowa Department of Transportation 2009 $65,972.00 Dave Claman Cheryl Cowie 515-239-1447 Cheryl.Cowie@iowadot.us
Iowa Department of Transportation 2010 $65,972.00 Dave Claman Cheryl Cowie 515-239-1447 Cheryl.Cowie@iowadot.us
Kansas Department of Transportation 2008 $85,712.00 Jim Richardson Rodney Montney 785-291-3844 rodney@ksdot.org
Kansas Department of Transportation 2009 $91,301.00 Jim Richardson Rodney Montney 785-291-3844 rodney@ksdot.org
Kansas Department of Transportation 2010 $91,300.00 Jim Richardson Rodney Montney 785-291-3844 rodney@ksdot.org
Minnesota Department of Transportation 2008 $66,667.00 Lisa Sayler Lisa Jansen 651-366-3779 lisa.jansen@state.mn.us
Minnesota Department of Transportation 2009 $66,667.00 Lisa Sayler Lisa Jansen 651-366-3779 lisa.jansen@state.mn.us
Minnesota Department of Transportation 2010 $66,667.00 Lisa Sayler Lisa Jansen 651-366-3779 lisa.jansen@state.mn.us
Minnesota State Aid 2009 $82,374.00 Lisa Jansen 651-366-3779 lisa.jansen@state.mn.us
Missouri Department of Transportation 2009 $30,000.00 Keith Ferrell Jennifer Harper 573-526-3636 Jennifer.Harper@modot.mo.gov
Nebraska Department of Transportation 2009 $78,992.00 Don Jisa Jodi Gibson 402-479-4337 jodi.gibson@nebraska.gov
Nebraska Department of Transportation 2010 $78,992.00 Don Jisa Jodi Gibson 402-479-4337 jodi.gibson@nebraska.gov
Nebraska Department of Transportation 2011 $78,992.00 Don Jisa Jodi Gibson 402-479-4337 jodi.gibson@nebraska.gov
Nebraska Department of Transportation 2012 $78,992.00 Don Jisa Jodi Gibson 402-479-4337 jodi.gibson@nebraska.gov
Nebraska Department of Transportation 2013 $78,992.00 Don Jisa Jodi Gibson 402-479-4337 jodi.gibson@nebraska.gov
Oklahoma Transportation 2010 $82,483.00 Ron Curb Ron Curb (405)420-9163 rcurb@odot.org
Oklahoma Transportation 2011 $82,483.00 Ron Curb Ron Curb (405)420-9163 rcurb@odot.org
Oklahoma Transportation 2012 $82,483.00 Ron Curb Ron Curb (405)420-9163 rcurb@odot.org
South Dakota Department of Transportation 2007 $58,666.00 Kevin Goeden David Huft 605-773-3358 dave.huft@state.sd.us
South Dakota Department of Transportation 2008 $58,667.00 Kevin Goeden David Huft 605-773-3358 dave.huft@state.sd.us
South Dakota Department of Transportation 2009 $58,667.00 Kevin Goeden David Huft 605-773-3358 dave.huft@state.sd.us

Study Description

In some parts of the country, rainfall maps have not been updated for approximately 50 years. That means we are ignoring the last 50 years of rainfall data in our basic hydrologic estimates for drainage structures. NOAA has updated parts of the country in various volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 with funding through regional climatic centers and other pooled funding arrangements. NOAA's National Weather Service (NWS) proposes updating precipitation frequency estimates for the states not included in NOAA Atlas 14 Volume 1 (AZ, southeast CA, NM, NV, UT), Volume 2 (DE, DC, IL, IN, KY, MD, NC, NJ, OH, PA, SC, TN, VA, WV), and Volume 3 (PR, VI). The proposal includes updating estimates for the Pacific Island dependencies. The updates will be published as subsequent Volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 "Precipitation-Frequency Atlas of the United States"; on the web at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc. The solicitations are by climatic regions. This particular solicitation is for the Midwester and will involve the following States: IA, KS, MN, MO, ND, NE, and SD

Objectives

The purpose of this study is to determine annual exceedance probabilities (AEP) and average recurrence intervals (ARI) for durations ranging from 5 minutes to 60 days and for ARIs from 1 to 1,000 years. The point estimates will be spatially interpolated to a spatial resolution of approximately 4km x 4 km. The study results will be published as volumes of NOAA Atlas 14, a wholly web based publication available at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc. The publication will include the artifacts provided in Volumes 1 and 2 including access through the Precipitation Frequency Data Server, base grids in standard formats, electronic copies of maps, results of trend analyses, charts of seasonal distributions and probabilistic temporal distributions, and detailed documentation. Updated areal reduction factors are being developed as a separate appendix to NOAA Atlas 14 for the entire U.S. including Alaska. The project will review and process all reasonably available rainfall data. It is recognized that the rainfall data archived by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) may not be sufficient to accomplish the objectives of this project. Therefore, other data available from sources such as State Climatologists and other Federal, State and local agencies will be examined and included if appropriate. The state of the art techniques and processes developed and applied for NOAA Atlas 14 Volumes 1 and 2 will be applied. They include regional frequency analysis based on L-moments including error estimates, a combination of PRISM based techniques and CRAB for spatial interpolation, techniques for the analysis of climatic trend, temporal distribution and seasonality, internal consistency checks and variety of automated processes designed to enhance productivity. Intermediate results in the form of hourly and daily estimates at several ARIs will be distributed for peer review as will the final documentation.

Scope of Work

The attached proposed Statement of Work by NOAA provides detailed information on the following: Task 1 - Data Collection and Quality Control Task 2 - Regionalization Task 3 - Frequency Distribution Selection and Fitting Studies Task 4 - Frequency Calculations Task 5 - Short Duration Estimates Task 6 - Internal Consistency at Observing Locations Task 7 - Spatial Interpolation and Consistency Task 8 - Mapping and other Spatial Artifacts Task 9 - Temporal Distributions Task 10 - Peer Reviews Task 11 - Documentation Task 12 - Final Deliverables Task 13 - Status Reporting

Comments

Commitments required: $1,521,000 with the following estimate by States: IA ($197,938), KS ($268,313), MN ($200,092), MO($233,036), ND($184,641), NE ($236,977), SD ($199,734)

Subjects: Bridges, Other Structures, and Hydraulics and Hydrology Energy and Environment

Documents Attached
Title File/Link Type Privacy Download
TPF-5(187) Closeout Letter TPF-5(187) Close out Memo-Signed.pdf Memorandum Public
TPF-5(187) Closeout Funding Spreadsheet TPF-5 (187) Close Out Funding Spreadsheet - Final.xlsx Other Public
Progress Report: April - June 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: April - June 2011 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187)_for_Apr_to_Jun2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: January - March 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186) and TPF-5(187) for Jan to Mar 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: July - September 2010 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)_and_TPF-5(187)_for_Jul_to_Sep_2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: October 2010 - December 2010 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186) and TPF-5(187) for Oct to Dec 2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: April - June 2010 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187)_for_Apr_to_Jun2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: January- March 2010 report_jan_march.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: October - December 2009 report_Oct09.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: July - September 2009 Quarterly_Report_2009-09.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: April - June 2009 Quarterly_Report_2009-06.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Acceptance Memo TPF-5(187)_acceptance_memo.pdf Memorandum Public
Quarterly Report: January - March 2009 Quarterly_Report_2009-03.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: October - December 2008 Quarterly_report_2008-12.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: July - September 2008 Quarterly_report_2008-09.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Documents Attached
Title File/Link Type Privacy Download
Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Midwestern Region 980-994.pdf Solicitation Public

Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Midwestern Region

General Information
Study Number: TPF-5(187)
Lead Organization: Federal Highway Administration
Contract Start Date: Apr 10, 2009
Solicitation Number: 980
Partners: Minnesota State Aid, CO, IADOT, KS, MN, MO, NE, OK, SD
Status: Closed
Est. Completion Date: Jan 31, 2013
Contract/Other Number:
Last Updated: Mar 22, 2016
Contract End Date: Sep 30, 2014
Financial Summary
Contract Amount:
Total Commitments Received: $1,642,013.00
100% SP&R Approval:
Contact Information
Lead Study Contact(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
FHWA Technical Liaison(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
Commitments by Organizations
Organization Year Commitments Technical Contact Name Funding Contact Name Contact Number Email Address
Colorado Department of Transportation 2010 $15,000.00 Aziz Khan Aziz Khan aziz.khan@state.co.us
Colorado Department of Transportation 2011 $15,000.00 Aziz Khan Aziz Khan aziz.khan@state.co.us
Colorado Department of Transportation 2012 $15,000.00 Aziz Khan Aziz Khan aziz.khan@state.co.us
Iowa Department of Transportation 2008 $65,972.00 Dave Claman Cheryl Cowie 515-239-1447 Cheryl.Cowie@iowadot.us
Iowa Department of Transportation 2009 $65,972.00 Dave Claman Cheryl Cowie 515-239-1447 Cheryl.Cowie@iowadot.us
Iowa Department of Transportation 2010 $65,972.00 Dave Claman Cheryl Cowie 515-239-1447 Cheryl.Cowie@iowadot.us
Kansas Department of Transportation 2008 $85,712.00 Jim Richardson Rodney Montney 785-291-3844 rodney@ksdot.org
Kansas Department of Transportation 2009 $91,301.00 Jim Richardson Rodney Montney 785-291-3844 rodney@ksdot.org
Kansas Department of Transportation 2010 $91,300.00 Jim Richardson Rodney Montney 785-291-3844 rodney@ksdot.org
Minnesota Department of Transportation 2008 $66,667.00 Lisa Sayler Lisa Jansen 651-366-3779 lisa.jansen@state.mn.us
Minnesota Department of Transportation 2009 $66,667.00 Lisa Sayler Lisa Jansen 651-366-3779 lisa.jansen@state.mn.us
Minnesota Department of Transportation 2010 $66,667.00 Lisa Sayler Lisa Jansen 651-366-3779 lisa.jansen@state.mn.us
Minnesota State Aid 2009 $82,374.00 Lisa Jansen 651-366-3779 lisa.jansen@state.mn.us
Missouri Department of Transportation 2009 $30,000.00 Keith Ferrell Jennifer Harper 573-526-3636 Jennifer.Harper@modot.mo.gov
Nebraska Department of Transportation 2009 $78,992.00 Don Jisa Jodi Gibson 402-479-4337 jodi.gibson@nebraska.gov
Nebraska Department of Transportation 2010 $78,992.00 Don Jisa Jodi Gibson 402-479-4337 jodi.gibson@nebraska.gov
Nebraska Department of Transportation 2011 $78,992.00 Don Jisa Jodi Gibson 402-479-4337 jodi.gibson@nebraska.gov
Nebraska Department of Transportation 2012 $78,992.00 Don Jisa Jodi Gibson 402-479-4337 jodi.gibson@nebraska.gov
Nebraska Department of Transportation 2013 $78,992.00 Don Jisa Jodi Gibson 402-479-4337 jodi.gibson@nebraska.gov
Oklahoma Transportation 2010 $82,483.00 Ron Curb Ron Curb (405)420-9163 rcurb@odot.org
Oklahoma Transportation 2011 $82,483.00 Ron Curb Ron Curb (405)420-9163 rcurb@odot.org
Oklahoma Transportation 2012 $82,483.00 Ron Curb Ron Curb (405)420-9163 rcurb@odot.org
South Dakota Department of Transportation 2007 $58,666.00 Kevin Goeden David Huft 605-773-3358 dave.huft@state.sd.us
South Dakota Department of Transportation 2008 $58,667.00 Kevin Goeden David Huft 605-773-3358 dave.huft@state.sd.us
South Dakota Department of Transportation 2009 $58,667.00 Kevin Goeden David Huft 605-773-3358 dave.huft@state.sd.us

Study Description

Study Description

In some parts of the country, rainfall maps have not been updated for approximately 50 years. That means we are ignoring the last 50 years of rainfall data in our basic hydrologic estimates for drainage structures. NOAA has updated parts of the country in various volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 with funding through regional climatic centers and other pooled funding arrangements. NOAA's National Weather Service (NWS) proposes updating precipitation frequency estimates for the states not included in NOAA Atlas 14 Volume 1 (AZ, southeast CA, NM, NV, UT), Volume 2 (DE, DC, IL, IN, KY, MD, NC, NJ, OH, PA, SC, TN, VA, WV), and Volume 3 (PR, VI). The proposal includes updating estimates for the Pacific Island dependencies. The updates will be published as subsequent Volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 "Precipitation-Frequency Atlas of the United States"; on the web at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc. The solicitations are by climatic regions. This particular solicitation is for the Midwester and will involve the following States: IA, KS, MN, MO, ND, NE, and SD

Objectives

The purpose of this study is to determine annual exceedance probabilities (AEP) and average recurrence intervals (ARI) for durations ranging from 5 minutes to 60 days and for ARIs from 1 to 1,000 years. The point estimates will be spatially interpolated to a spatial resolution of approximately 4km x 4 km. The study results will be published as volumes of NOAA Atlas 14, a wholly web based publication available at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc. The publication will include the artifacts provided in Volumes 1 and 2 including access through the Precipitation Frequency Data Server, base grids in standard formats, electronic copies of maps, results of trend analyses, charts of seasonal distributions and probabilistic temporal distributions, and detailed documentation. Updated areal reduction factors are being developed as a separate appendix to NOAA Atlas 14 for the entire U.S. including Alaska. The project will review and process all reasonably available rainfall data. It is recognized that the rainfall data archived by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) may not be sufficient to accomplish the objectives of this project. Therefore, other data available from sources such as State Climatologists and other Federal, State and local agencies will be examined and included if appropriate. The state of the art techniques and processes developed and applied for NOAA Atlas 14 Volumes 1 and 2 will be applied. They include regional frequency analysis based on L-moments including error estimates, a combination of PRISM based techniques and CRAB for spatial interpolation, techniques for the analysis of climatic trend, temporal distribution and seasonality, internal consistency checks and variety of automated processes designed to enhance productivity. Intermediate results in the form of hourly and daily estimates at several ARIs will be distributed for peer review as will the final documentation.

Scope of Work

The attached proposed Statement of Work by NOAA provides detailed information on the following: Task 1 - Data Collection and Quality Control Task 2 - Regionalization Task 3 - Frequency Distribution Selection and Fitting Studies Task 4 - Frequency Calculations Task 5 - Short Duration Estimates Task 6 - Internal Consistency at Observing Locations Task 7 - Spatial Interpolation and Consistency Task 8 - Mapping and other Spatial Artifacts Task 9 - Temporal Distributions Task 10 - Peer Reviews Task 11 - Documentation Task 12 - Final Deliverables Task 13 - Status Reporting

Comments

Commitments required: $1,521,000 with the following estimate by States: IA ($197,938), KS ($268,313), MN ($200,092), MO($233,036), ND($184,641), NE ($236,977), SD ($199,734)

Subjects: Bridges, Other Structures, and Hydraulics and Hydrology Energy and Environment

Title File/Link Type Private
Acceptance Memo TPF-5(187)_acceptance_memo.pdf Memorandum Public
TPF-5(187) Closeout Letter TPF-5(187) Close out Memo-Signed.pdf Memorandum Public
TPF-5(187) Closeout Funding Spreadsheet TPF-5 (187) Close Out Funding Spreadsheet - Final.xlsx Other Public
Quarterly Report: July - September 2008 Quarterly_report_2008-09.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: October - December 2008 Quarterly_report_2008-12.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: January - March 2009 Quarterly_Report_2009-03.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: April - June 2009 Quarterly_Report_2009-06.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: July - September 2009 Quarterly_Report_2009-09.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: October - December 2009 report_Oct09.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: January- March 2010 report_jan_march.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: April - June 2010 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187)_for_Apr_to_Jun2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: July - September 2010 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)_and_TPF-5(187)_for_Jul_to_Sep_2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: October 2010 - December 2010 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186) and TPF-5(187) for Oct to Dec 2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: January - March 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186) and TPF-5(187) for Jan to Mar 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: April - June 2011 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187)_for_Apr_to_Jun2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Title File/Link Type Private
Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Midwestern Region 980-994.pdf Solicitation Public

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