Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Michigan and Wisconsin

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General Information
Study Number: TPF-5(186)
Former Study Number:
Lead Organization: Federal Highway Administration
Contract Start Date: Apr 10, 2009
Solicitation Number: 994
Partners: Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, SEWRPC, WI
Status: Closed
Est. Completion Date: Jan 31, 2013
Contract/Other Number:
Last Updated: Jan 28, 2019
Contract End Date: Sep 30, 2014
Financial Summary
Contract Amount:
Suggested Contribution:
Total Commitments Received: $158,436.00
100% SP&R Approval: Approved
Contact Information
Lead Study Contact(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
FHWA Technical Liaison(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
Study Champion(s): Ginger Griffin
Ginger.Griffin@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3022
Organization Year Commitments Technical Contact Name Funding Contact Name
Southeastern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission 2008 $5,000.00 Michael Hahn
Southeastern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission 2009 $5,000.00 Michael Hahn
Southeastern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission 2010 $5,000.00 Michael Hahn
Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources 2009 $15,000.00 Ryan Raab Ryan Raab
Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources 2010 $15,000.00 Ryan Raab Ryan Raab
Wisconsin Department of Transportation 2008 $50,000.00 Rodney Taylor Lynn Hanus
Wisconsin Department of Transportation 2009 $63,436.00 Rodney Taylor Lynn Hanus

Study Description

In some parts of the country, rainfall maps have not been updated for approximately 50 years. That means we are ignoring the last 50 years of rainfall data in our basic hydrologic estimates for drainage structures. NOAA has updated parts of the country in various volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 with funding through regional climatic centers and other pooled funding arrangements. NOAA's National Weather Service (NWS) proposes updating precipitation frequency estimates for the states not included in NOAA Atlas 14 Volume 1 (AZ, southeast CA, NM, NV, UT), Volume 2 (DE, DC, IL, IN, KY, MD, NC, NJ, OH, PA, SC, TN, VA, WV), and Volume 3 (PR, VI). The proposal includes updating estimates for the Pacific Island dependencies. The updates will be published as subsequent Volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 "Precipitation-Frequency Atlas of the United States"; on the web at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc. The solicitations are by climatic regions. This particular solicitation is for Wisconsin and Michigan.

Objectives

The purpose of this study is to determine annual exceedance probabilities (AEP) and average recurrence intervals (ARI) for durations ranging from 5 minutes to 60 days and for ARIs from 1 to 1,000 years. The point estimates will be spatially interpolated to a spatial resolution of approximately 4km x 4 km. The study results will be published as volumes of NOAA Atlas 14, a wholly web based publication available at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc. The publication will include the artifacts provided in Volumes 1 and 2 including access through the Precipitation Frequency Data Server, base grids in standard formats, electronic copies of maps, results of trend analyses, charts of seasonal distributions and probabilistic temporal distributions, and detailed documentation. Updated areal reduction factors are being developed as a separate appendix to NOAA Atlas 14 for the entire U.S. including Alaska. The project will review and process all reasonably available rainfall data. It is recognized that the rainfall data archived by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) may not be sufficient to accomplish the objectives of this project. Therefore, other data available from sources such as State Climatologists and other Federal, State and local agencies will be examined and included if appropriate.The state of the art techniques and processes developed and applied for NOAA Atlas 14 Volumes 1 and 2 will be applied. They include regional frequency analysis based on L-moments including error estimates, a combination of PRISM based techniques and CRAB for spatial interpolation, techniques for the analysis of climatic trend, temporal distribution and seasonality, internal consistency checks and variety of automated processes designed to enhance productivity. Intermediate results in the form of hourly and daily estimates at several ARIs will be distributed for peer review as will the final documentation.

Scope of Work

The attached proposed Statement of Work by NOAA provides detailed information on the following: Task 1 - Data Collection and Quality Control Task 2 - Regionalization Task 3 - Frequency Distribution Selection and Fitting Studies Task 4 - Frequency Calculations Task 5 - Short Duration Estimates Task 6 - Internal Consistency at Observing Locations Task 7 - Spatial Interpolation and Consistency Task 8 - Mapping and other Spatial Artifacts Task 9 - Temporal Distributions Task 10 - Peer Reviews Task 11 - Documentation Task 12 - Final Deliverables Task 13 - Status Reporting

Comments

Commitments required: $404,000 with the following estimate by States: MI ($230,228), WI ($173,436)

Subjects: Bridges, Other Structures, and Hydraulics and Hydrology Energy and Environment

Documents Attached
Title File/Link Type Privacy Download
TPF-5(186) Closeout Funding Spreadsheeet TPF-5(186) Closeout Funding Spreadsheet.pdf Other Public
TPF-5(186) Closeout Letter TPF-5(186)Closeout Memo.pdf Memorandum Public
Progress Report: April - June 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: April - June 2011 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187)_for_Apr_to_Jun2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report July - September 2010 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)_and_TPF-5(187)_for_Jul_to_Sep_2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: January - March 2011 PR TPF-5(175)TPF-5(186) and TPF-5(187) for Jan to Mar 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: October 2010 - December 2010 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186) and TPF-5(187) for Oct to Dec 2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2010 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187)_for_Apr_to_Jun2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2010 report_march2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2009 Quarterly_Report_2009-09.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2009 Quarterly_Report_2009-06.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Documents Attached
Title File/Link Type Privacy Download
Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Michigan and Wisconsin 980-994.pdf Solicitation Public

Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Michigan and Wisconsin

General Information
Study Number: TPF-5(186)
Lead Organization: Federal Highway Administration
Contract Start Date: Apr 10, 2009
Solicitation Number: 994
Partners: Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, SEWRPC, WI
Status: Closed
Est. Completion Date: Jan 31, 2013
Contract/Other Number:
Last Updated: Jan 28, 2019
Contract End Date: Sep 30, 2014
Financial Summary
Contract Amount:
Total Commitments Received: $158,436.00
100% SP&R Approval:
Contact Information
Lead Study Contact(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
FHWA Technical Liaison(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
Commitments by Organizations
Organization Year Commitments Technical Contact Name Funding Contact Name Contact Number Email Address
Southeastern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission 2008 $5,000.00 Michael Hahn 262- 547-6722 Ext. 243 mhahn@sewrpc.org
Southeastern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission 2009 $5,000.00 Michael Hahn 262- 547-6722 Ext. 243 mhahn@sewrpc.org
Southeastern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission 2010 $5,000.00 Michael Hahn 262- 547-6722 Ext. 243 mhahn@sewrpc.org
Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources 2009 $15,000.00 Ryan Raab Ryan Raab 608-267-2757 ryan.raab@wisconsin.gov
Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources 2010 $15,000.00 Ryan Raab Ryan Raab 608-267-2757 ryan.raab@wisconsin.gov
Wisconsin Department of Transportation 2008 $50,000.00 Rodney Taylor Lynn Hanus 608-267-2294 lynnm.hanus@dot.wi.gov
Wisconsin Department of Transportation 2009 $63,436.00 Rodney Taylor Lynn Hanus 608-267-2294 lynnm.hanus@dot.wi.gov

Study Description

Study Description

In some parts of the country, rainfall maps have not been updated for approximately 50 years. That means we are ignoring the last 50 years of rainfall data in our basic hydrologic estimates for drainage structures. NOAA has updated parts of the country in various volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 with funding through regional climatic centers and other pooled funding arrangements. NOAA's National Weather Service (NWS) proposes updating precipitation frequency estimates for the states not included in NOAA Atlas 14 Volume 1 (AZ, southeast CA, NM, NV, UT), Volume 2 (DE, DC, IL, IN, KY, MD, NC, NJ, OH, PA, SC, TN, VA, WV), and Volume 3 (PR, VI). The proposal includes updating estimates for the Pacific Island dependencies. The updates will be published as subsequent Volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 "Precipitation-Frequency Atlas of the United States"; on the web at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc. The solicitations are by climatic regions. This particular solicitation is for Wisconsin and Michigan.

Objectives

The purpose of this study is to determine annual exceedance probabilities (AEP) and average recurrence intervals (ARI) for durations ranging from 5 minutes to 60 days and for ARIs from 1 to 1,000 years. The point estimates will be spatially interpolated to a spatial resolution of approximately 4km x 4 km. The study results will be published as volumes of NOAA Atlas 14, a wholly web based publication available at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc. The publication will include the artifacts provided in Volumes 1 and 2 including access through the Precipitation Frequency Data Server, base grids in standard formats, electronic copies of maps, results of trend analyses, charts of seasonal distributions and probabilistic temporal distributions, and detailed documentation. Updated areal reduction factors are being developed as a separate appendix to NOAA Atlas 14 for the entire U.S. including Alaska. The project will review and process all reasonably available rainfall data. It is recognized that the rainfall data archived by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) may not be sufficient to accomplish the objectives of this project. Therefore, other data available from sources such as State Climatologists and other Federal, State and local agencies will be examined and included if appropriate.The state of the art techniques and processes developed and applied for NOAA Atlas 14 Volumes 1 and 2 will be applied. They include regional frequency analysis based on L-moments including error estimates, a combination of PRISM based techniques and CRAB for spatial interpolation, techniques for the analysis of climatic trend, temporal distribution and seasonality, internal consistency checks and variety of automated processes designed to enhance productivity. Intermediate results in the form of hourly and daily estimates at several ARIs will be distributed for peer review as will the final documentation.

Scope of Work

The attached proposed Statement of Work by NOAA provides detailed information on the following: Task 1 - Data Collection and Quality Control Task 2 - Regionalization Task 3 - Frequency Distribution Selection and Fitting Studies Task 4 - Frequency Calculations Task 5 - Short Duration Estimates Task 6 - Internal Consistency at Observing Locations Task 7 - Spatial Interpolation and Consistency Task 8 - Mapping and other Spatial Artifacts Task 9 - Temporal Distributions Task 10 - Peer Reviews Task 11 - Documentation Task 12 - Final Deliverables Task 13 - Status Reporting

Comments

Commitments required: $404,000 with the following estimate by States: MI ($230,228), WI ($173,436)

Subjects: Bridges, Other Structures, and Hydraulics and Hydrology Energy and Environment

Title File/Link Type Private
TPF-5(186) Closeout Letter TPF-5(186)Closeout Memo.pdf Memorandum Public
TPF-5(186) Closeout Funding Spreadsheeet TPF-5(186) Closeout Funding Spreadsheet.pdf Other Public
Progress Report: April - June 2009 Quarterly_Report_2009-06.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2009 Quarterly_Report_2009-09.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2010 report_march2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2010 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187)_for_Apr_to_Jun2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report July - September 2010 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)_and_TPF-5(187)_for_Jul_to_Sep_2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: October 2010 - December 2010 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186) and TPF-5(187) for Oct to Dec 2010.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: January - March 2011 PR TPF-5(175)TPF-5(186) and TPF-5(187) for Jan to Mar 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Quarterly Report: April - June 2011 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187)_for_Apr_to_Jun2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Title File/Link Type Private
Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Michigan and Wisconsin 980-994.pdf Solicitation Public

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